March Madness – Does Proximity Make a Difference?

Topics that always comes up during March Madness are how each team was seeded and where was that team placed in the bracket. Entering this year’s tournament the most criticized decision by the committee was the treatment of the PAC-12 teams and the 12-seeds in general. The 12-seeds this year included Akron, Ole Miss, California and Oregon. That group had two members of the PAC-12 and two conference tournament champions in Ole Miss and Oregon.

Looking at the distance from campus, for all of the schools in the tournament field, the 12-seeds actually had the closest proximity of all the seed groups outside of the 1-seeds, which historically are seed protected and kept close to home. Did the committee actually do a favor by seeding the 12s a little high but kept them close to home? Continue reading

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Neutral Court Power Ratings (NCAA Tourney Teams)

As mentioned in a prior blog, I am continuing on with my breakdown of key stats for the March Madness bracket. Now that the field is set I am curious to know if the numbers used to determine which teams make the tourney, their seed and location relate to success in it. This is the second part to my original neutral court success blog I published a couple of weeks ago. Instead of just naming the teams who have succeeded or haven’t on neutral courts, I put together a chart of all the teams seeded 1 through 14 with their neutral court record and neutral court power rating. Remember, the reason this stat jumped out to me, the past 2 national champions both entered the tournament with an undefeated regular season neutral court record and won their conference tournament championship.

To stay consistent with my prior blog I used warrennolan.com to put together the neutral court records.  I combined regular season neutral court record with conference tournament record for the chart. In addition to this, I also used the teamrankings.com neutral court power rating. All neutral court wins or losses are not treated equal and some of the websites I researched gave credit to teams for a neutral court win or loss where others did not. Since teamrankings.com takes more factors into account than just overall record I felt cross referencing the two sites would paint a clearer picture.

I know some of these numbers might not tell a perfect story but due to the past couple years and my curiosity I feel this is an important stat to follow for the next few tournaments and track the results. Below you will see the chart breakdown, but 5 teams that jump out at me are Missouri, Louisville, Vanderbilt, Murray State, and Creighton.

Some notes on the chart:

  • Chart is in order according to each teams power rating.
  • Only teams seeded 1 through 14 were used.
  • Only teams in the tournament were pulled from teamrankings.com.
  • Harvard had no postseason tourney.
  • Teams who have their conference tourney on their home court, wins/losses were not included in the power rating.
Team Seed Neutral  Court Power Rating Neutral and Conference Tourney Record
Missouri 2 1 10-0
UNLV 6 2 3-1
Vanderbilt 5 3 8-0
Louisville 4 4 8-0
Harvard 12 5 3-0
Creighton 8 6 7-0
Baylor 3 9 7-2
Ohio St 2 10 4-2
Michigan St 1 11 6-2
Duke 2 12 7-2
Florida St 3 14 7-2
Cincinnati 6 15 5-2
Wisconsin 4 16 4-2
Kentucky 1 17 8-2
Florida 7 18 6-2
Murray St 6 19 6-0
Belmont 14 22 7-0
Saint Mary’s 7 23 5-1
Ohio 13 25 6-0
Gonzaga 7 28 4-2
Michigan 4 31 4-3
NC State 11 32 6-3
North Carolina 1 33 6-3
Indiana 4 34 3-2
Uconn 9 36 6-3
New Mexico 5 37 8-1
South Dakota St 14 38 8-0
Kansas 2 39 4-4
St. Bonaventure 14 40 6-1
Syracuse 1 41 5-2
Georgetown 3 42 3-3
Alabama 9 43 5-2
Kansas St 8 44 3-3
West Virginia 10 45 4-3
Iona 14 47 5-3
Long Beach St 12 50 8-1
Marquette 3 53 4-2
Colorado 11 55 9-2
Davidson 13 56 6-0
San Diego St 6 58 4-2
Southern Miss 9 59 4-3
St. Louis 9 60 5-2
New Mexico St 13 63 8-1
Colorado St 11 67 4-2
BYU 14 71 5-3
Xavier 10 75 5-3
Purdue 10 76 4-4
Iowa St 8 77 2-2
Memphis 8 80 4-2
California 12 85 3-3
Texas 11 86 2-4
Virginia 10 90 2-3
Temple 5 91 2-3
Wichita St 5 93 3-4
VCU 12 96 8-2
Montana 13 100 2-0
Notre Dame 7 106 2-6
South Florida 12 115 2-4