What does Boise State need?

This week's games use the betting market: where there's a point spread, it's turned into a win chance ("Georgia −3.5" makes Georgia about a 60% favorite); otherwise we use the game's price on Kalshi, a betting exchange. Later games don't have lines yet, so they use our power ratings, built from every 2026 score and adjusted for opponent strength and home field, with blowouts capped. Each week the new lines replace the ratings for the games about to be played. Think we've got a game wrong? Set your own odds for any game under "Go deeper": tap the odds in the middle. Then we play out the rest of the season 10,000 times with the official tiebreakers and count how often your team makes the title game.